Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 2.118389 2.413004 2.733244 3.107136 3.531669 3.998721 4.551571
2025-09-28 1.618068 2.009733 2.472662 3.059998 3.785349 4.651975 5.766563
2025-10-05 1.453237 1.915884 2.495152 3.273327 4.291445 5.578642 7.331006
2025-10-12 1.269554 1.758001 2.399289 3.302284 4.541100 6.181778 8.522103
2025-10-19 1.159722 1.675807 2.381822 3.417317 4.897445 6.938031 9.968658
2025-10-26 1.029928 1.546444 2.279677 3.395252 5.049776 7.414542 11.056189
2025-11-02 0.925143 1.438753 2.192958 3.379579 5.199834 7.888573 12.168381
2025-11-09 0.825448 1.326316 2.085312 3.317270 5.267177 8.236790 13.110971
2025-11-16 0.765128 1.267445 2.051305 3.361151 5.495744 8.840488 14.489561
2025-11-23 0.711682 1.213344 2.018172 3.400466 5.716009 9.442960 15.909427
2025-11-30 0.654840 1.147474 1.958940 3.389518 5.849545 9.911362 17.141652
2025-12-07 0.596498 1.073053 1.878103 3.333292 5.899122 10.240220 18.159117
2025-12-14 0.543630 1.006738 1.811191 3.305993 6.015558 10.724816 19.550323
2025-12-21 0.491890 0.937793 1.734291 3.255784 6.091099 11.153266 20.899680
2025-12-28 0.485901 0.952046 1.806837 3.482640 6.687705 12.556321 24.145225
2026-01-04 0.453673 0.912861 1.776660 3.513432 6.920044 13.312552 26.250335
2026-01-11 0.435980 0.899856 1.794020 3.635753 7.336416 14.445174 29.174297
2026-01-18 0.402963 0.852637 1.740318 3.612290 7.463290 15.031679 31.076302
2026-01-25 0.373983 0.810603 1.692634 3.595624 7.600647 15.647549 33.088627
2026-02-01 0.342867 0.760824 1.624361 3.529366 7.628630 16.044007 34.681393
2026-02-08 0.325292 0.738348 1.610454 3.576028 7.896978 16.952987 37.429637
2026-02-15 0.308676 0.716257 1.595163 3.617834 8.157771 17.866346 40.266175
2026-02-22 0.288958 0.685164 1.557398 3.606193 8.299437 18.535768 42.624658